Tory triangulation: their great weakness?
Labour was always accused of spinning. In a sense, this seems to ultimately have contributed much to their downfall – but not in the ways we would expect.
The usual complaint about spin is that it misleads. But this feeling of sleeze didn’t cost Labour any election. Despite the lies of the Iraq War, the 2005 election wasn’t even close. I’ve not heard anyone argue this was a major issue in the 2010 election.
No, for me, the problem is that Labour never made the case for the principles of the left. The idea was famously that by moving their rhetoric to the right, they would be elected, and then could secure broadly progressive aims. Of course the latter part of that sentence is largely flawed – they did as much bad as good – but I often wonder if the first isn’t more flawed.
Because if the main party of the centre left is accepting the language of the right, then the whole of the political debate moves to the right. The foundation on which the party is built begins to slip. There is simple evidence for this. Labour stopped talking about inequality. Fewer people care about it. Labour did talk about gay rights. People are much less homophobic.
And we see the same in the States. What is the enduring legacy left by Ronald Reagan? Is it that he smashed the unions? To a certain extent. But his success in framing American freedom as a right-wing freedom was extraordinary. And by combining the two – not just assaulting the social democratic consensus, but also making the case for its abolition, that he was able to change American political imagination. It wasn’t until Obama’s Yes We Can speech that any Democrat presidential nominee truly attempted to combat the notion of American patriotic freedom as frontier individualism – of the American Dream as one of individual wealth. His images of Americans as collective revolutionaries endure. His success and failure in continuing to command the consciousness of the world with his presidential pulpit will define his legacy as much as his gains and losses in policy. Policy is ephemeral – the next guy can reverse it. Collective conscience is much harder to change. The best way to ensure a policy is protected is to build a populous who will never allow it to be abolished, who will continue to demand more of the same.
And while all of the above is only half true, it is a window through which I sometimes like to look at governments. And I sometimes let myself hope that in learning from the success of Blair, Cameron has failed to learn from his failings. Unlike Blair, he is pushing through seriously radical policies. But unlike Reagan (or Thatcher) he isn’t making the real case for them. Rather than attempting to build a consensus around mass privitisation and the abolition of the welfare state, he is pushing these things through under the smokescreen of the credit crunch. While Thatcher and Reagan fought for and won political territory, and in doing so revolutionised the politics of the country, Cameron seems to me to be revolutionising the structures of the economy and the state, but hasn’t secured the corresponding political territory. And, for me, this is one of their key weaknesses. Let’s hope we can exploit it.
That should of course read “socialism or barbarism.” I shouldn’t attempt to rant when tired.
I think your piece tends to underplay what a strong position the ConDem government is in to push through further radical policies, but also to overstate the strength of Thatcher’s ‘project’ when the conservatives took power in 1979.
It is easy to forget that Thatcher faced strong opposition both within the Conservative Party and in the country at large, whereas Cameron is supported by a united party, seemingly manageable and docile coalition allies, and has very little effective opposition either inside or outside parliament. In this respect Cameron is in a stronger position than Thatcher (and can justifiably claim to be building on the work of previous Conservative and Labour governments).
The story here is how the crisis of social democracy, which was experienced widely throughout western capitalist states in the 1970s, was played out in the UK. The Blair/Brown ‘New Labour’ response can be seen as both a symptom of the Left’s disarray and weakness in articulating a credible alternative, but also a cause of it’s continued dis-empowerment and retreat.
As Oxford Kevin points out in his earlier post, the Labour Party’s central ambition is simply to get elected, without too much thought about what it can achieve if it is. But this has always been the case since the party was founded (remember the Old Labour boast that socialism can be defined as “what Labour governments do”?). Against the charge that Labour is part of the problem rather than the solution, the party has (in the past) been reasonably united around a consensus that its version of social democracy was a viable and sustainable solution to the problems generated by capitalism.
It seems to me that very few in the party now believe this. It is not simply that, following the defeats and ideological disarray of the 80s, Blair and Brown were able to effect a coup on a demoralised party (although there is an element of that). When Blair decreed that there could be no going back to Old Labour, he was articulating a widespread (if usually unstated) view that social democracy was a ‘busted flush’ and that in truth There Is No Alternative to the advancing globalised free-market capitalism. If the New Labour response (of going all out for growth of financial as opposed to manufacturing capital, maintaining a weakened, docile and ‘flexible’ labour force, hoping for increased tax returns to fund some redistribution to public spending, and being willing to curb civil liberties as necessary) has been somewhat discredited, it is still forms the majority viewpoint within the parliamentary labour party. The minority position, around Ed Miliband, appears to combine a nostalgia for social democracy with almost total incomprehension of how this could be brought about. The view that it is possible to demand anything more than a marginally less brutal capitalism is almost completely absent.
(It is worth looking at the work done by hegemonics.co.uk to document all this)
My point here is not to retreat into the comfortable but sterile reliance on explanations based on betrayal. Rather I think this emphasises the scale of the challenge to all those seeking popular support for alternatives. Neo-liberalism is a relatively coherent framework for articulating goals, strategies and tactics to deal with widely perceived problems (for example the stagflation experienced under the restrictions of social democratic capitalist economies) Its supporters were able to build alliances from among academics, business, media and political activists in order to win enough popular support to carry out radical changes (economic, political, institutional and ideological). The challenge for the left in the 21st century is to build a similarly ambitious project. Given the unsustainable nature of free market capitalism and its observable disastrous effects on the planet, it ought to be a truism that the choice before us is not between capitalism and socialism but capitalism or barbarism.
This post about campaigning for cycling facilities I think also makes some interesting points about something similar.
http://cycleoffutility.wordpress.com/2011/06/08/tory-walk-out-a-pr-stunt-that-might-just-work/
But I also think that behaviour as well as words changes the political landscape, so that the Tories attempts at radical transformation itself moves the political landscape. Even if they have to retreat on this occaison because they have overstretched they make it easier to try it on at a later date. Both actions and words are important.
I kind of discussed this here:
http://brightgreenscotland.org/index.php/2010/09/how-the-left-has-lost-new-labour/
Kevin
Hi Bob,
yeah, I think that’s right. I don’t know the fugures off the top of my head, but party membership dropped significantly…
Politics is of course all much more comlex than the above…
Adam
More of a question really…
Was / Is not the the effect of the Iraq war on the Labour party’s electoral standing more that of the loss of activists being there to get the vote out?